01
Clarify the question before counting
The auditable universe is the union of provider listings successfully snapshotted on a named date. It is not “all crypto projects.” Assets, tokens, projects, wrappers and contracts are not interchangeable, and permissionless creation makes the universe change continuously.
Verified fact
A native event happened at a preserved timestamp on a channel whose ownership is established.
Reasonable inference
The monitored public surfaces appear quiet after the newest qualifying event.
Speculation
The team abandoned investors, stopped private work or intended to disappear.
Unresolved unknown
A deleted timeline, private group, inaccessible domain or possible successor cannot be checked.
02
Verification workflow
- 1
Snapshot the provider universe
Capture active, inactive and untracked inventories where terms permit. Record pagination, errors, adapter version and a raw snapshot hash.
- 2
Resolve the project identity
Canonicalize by chain and contract or native-chain identity. Provider IDs and aliases remain attached; ticker alone is never sufficient.
- 3
Prove channel ownership
Use reciprocal official links, stable account/repository IDs, archived historical links and contract continuity. Aggregators copying one URL are one provenance chain.
- 4
Preserve raw evidence
Store native IDs, timestamps, URLs, retrieval time, content hashes and lawful archives. Excluded events stay in the ledger with a reason.
- 5
Try to falsify silence
Search for a newer marginal event, successor, migration, transferred repository, account rename or different-language community.
- 6
Compute and review
Use the latest plausible qualifying time, score identity/timestamp/coverage separately, and require human review before a strong label.
03
Exact-day rule
These are complete 24-hour periods, not calendar days. Native timestamps can produce one exact integer. A source that supplies only a date becomes a one-day range. An archive capture proves content existed by the capture time; it does not prove the edit time.
04
Meaningful activity, separated from noise
Include
- Product, release, security, governance or roadmap updates
- Substantive replies from verified team members or maintainers
- Material maintainer commits, releases or reviewed pull requests
- Dated first-party documentation or changelog updates
Exclude
- Price posts, reposts, generic greetings, giveaways and automated market feeds
- Copyright-year, DNS, TLS, CDN or cache-header changes
- Dependency bots, empty commits and version-only churn without reviewed substance
- Third-party mentions, unaffiliated forks and anonymous community claims
05
Attack the leading explanation
Before publication, search project name, aliases, every contract, old and new domains, founders, maintainers and stable account IDs with migration vocabulary. Follow redirects and repository transfers. Check alternate forges, governance, Medium/Substack, Telegram, Discord, Farcaster and non-English channels.
06
Confidence is the weakest link
Identity
Is this the right asset, lineage and project-controlled channel?
Timestamp
Is the event time native, exact and resistant to backdating or archive ambiguity?
Coverage
Were all discovered applicable histories checked through the as-of time?
Overall confidence is the minimum of the three dimensions. High-confidence silence needs verified identity, complete channel histories, two families including communication, a negative contradiction search, a fresh review and ideally a second reviewer.
07
Known failure modes
A recent, meaningful first-party event is verified.
Every discovered applicable public channel was checked; no newer event or successor was found.
Evidence points to silence, but one or more histories, identities or channels remain incomplete.
A verified primary source records shutdown, retirement or legally compelled cessation.
The old identity is quiet because work continues under a verified successor.
Low cadence may be appropriate for stable, feature-complete software.
Evidence conflicts, critical sources are inaccessible, or identity cannot be established.
X exposes only a bounded recent timeline in standard access; GitHub’s default commit endpoint can miss other branches and forges; HTTP metadata rarely dates a meaningful website change; private investor communication is not auditable. Each limitation is kept visible rather than converted into certainty.
Inspect provider definitions and source constraints →